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  • Why are more millionaires choosing to rent?

Why are more millionaires choosing to rent?

Plus: what could push mortgage rates below 7%, where apartment rents may rise fastest, and which metros saw flipping returns rebound.

In partnership with

ZERO FLUX19 OCT 2026 / 5 MIN
TODAY'S MAIN SIGNALS
1Mortgage applications from homebuyers are down from last year.
2More homes are sitting on the market.
3Rental housing is attracting more millionaire households.
RATES
30-YR FIXED
7.37%
CHANGE FROM PRIOR IN BIPS
1D +4   1W -11   1M +13   1Y +114
10-YR UST
5.085%
CHANGE FROM PRIOR IN BIPS
1D -1   1W -15   1M +8   1Y +107
SOFR
3.89%
CHANGE FROM PRIOR IN BIPS
1D +1   1W +2   1M +25   1Y -40
MARKET SIGNALSFREE
RESIDENTIALLINK
What has to happen for mortgage rates to fall below 7%?
-Mortgage rates could fall below 7% if oil prices and geopolitical tensions ease, tariffs do not escalate, economic or labor data weaken and AI companies face more financing trouble.
-At 7.37%, mortgage rates are already weighing on demand. Purchase applications are down 16% from a year earlier.
MY VIEW
A mortgage rate below 7% needs several things to go right. The oil-driven rate jump we covered in September is a reminder not to build a buying budget around a hoped-for rate drop. Zero Flux, 2026-09-07 ↗
COMMERCIALLINK
CRE investors are caught between pricing pressure and rate risk
-CRE activity is holding up, but inflation is pressuring prices and two expected rate hikes in 2026 could keep borrowing costs high.
-Futures favor no October move and a quarter-point increase by December, leaving investors uncertain about when to finance deals.
RESIDENTIALLINK
How could the midterms change housing policy for Realtors?
-With 37 competitive House races and up to nine Senate races, the midterms could shift narrow congressional majorities and determine whether mortgage portability and down-payment aid advance.
-For Realtors, portability could prompt rate-locked owners to sell, while down-payment aid could expand the buyer pool. Both remain campaign proposals.
COMMERCIALLINK
Why senior living operators are moving deeper into resident healthcare
-Senior living operators are expanding healthcare services because new residents average more than 14 chronic conditions. The added care can extend stays and support occupancy.
-The Springs Living is connecting 1,900 residents in Oregon with Medicare Advantage services. Lifespark is bringing integrated care to 60 communities across Minnesota and Wisconsin.

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RESIDENTIALLINK
Mortgage rates stall at 7.4% as Treasury yields stabilize
-Mortgage rates held at 7.4% as the 10-year Treasury yield stabilized near 5.2%. Rising core inflation makes near-term rate relief less likely.
-High rates weakened demand, giving remaining buyers more bargaining power as September price cuts reached a four-year high.
RESIDENTIALLINK
What changed in the U.S. housing market this week?
-Slower demand is leaving more homes on the market. Inventory grew 6.8% from a year earlier, the fastest since late February, even as new listings fell 5.1%.
-The median asking price fell 2.3% to $415,000, the sharpest annual drop since late July. Buyers have more choice, while sellers face more pressure to price carefully.
MY VIEW
More homes for sale don't necessarily mean more sellers, and this week's drop in new listings makes that distinction important. Unlike the high-supply market we covered in September, asking prices are now falling, though final sale prices may tell a different story. Zero Flux, 2026-09-14 ↗
THE AI LAYERAI + REAL ESTATE
AI voice agents are learning when real estate leads turn seriousLINK
-CINC's new voice agent asks leads about timing and motivation, then sends serious prospects to a person, saving agents from chasing every lead through sales cycles that can last 12 months.
FUNDING ROUNDSPROPTECH
Beagle, a commercial real estate intelligence platform for insurers, raised $4.1 million in pre-seed funding, with Chingona leading the round.
Snag, a short-term rental marketplace, raised $4 million, with Slow Ventures leading the round.
HappyCo, a platform for multifamily turnovers and property operations, received funding in a round led by Lone View.
RisingTide, a platform that brings property management businesses together, secured seed funding, with Left Lane leading the round.
Kahua, a construction management software company, raised $250 million, with Bain Capital leading the round.
THE EDGEPREMIUM
COMMERCIALLINK
Which apartment markets will lead rent growth into 2027?
-San Francisco, CA, and Milwaukee, WI, are projected to lead apartment rent growth at 3.8% through the third quarter of 2027. Phoenix, AZ, follows at 3.7%.
-No top-50 market is forecast to see rents fall. Houston, TX, and San Antonio, TX, are expected to remain below 1% growth as they absorb recent supply.
MY VIEW
Don't build a deal around a forecast that every big market avoids rent declines. We recently covered improving national supply and demand, but those averages can hide markets still working through too many new apartments. Zero Flux, 2026-10-08 ↗
RESIDENTIALLINK
Which metros saw the biggest jump in home flipping ROI?
-Spartanburg, SC, posted the biggest annual rebound in gross flipping ROI, rising from 20.2% to 73.2%. Evansville, IN, ranked second at 72.2%, followed by Macon, GA, at 47.2%.
-The rebound stands out because gross flipping ROI fell from the prior quarter in 67.7% of analyzed metros.
RESIDENTIALLINK
Millionaire renters have tripled since 2020. Why skip ownership?
-Millionaire renter households grew 229% from 2020 to 2024 as high earners chose mobility and kept money available rather than tying more of it up in a comparable luxury home.
-New York City, NY, had 7,296 millionaire renter households, followed by San Francisco, CA, with 1,863. Los Angeles, CA, ranked third.
COMMERCIALLINK
How much control do CRE sponsors surrender for rescue capital?
-Rescue investors can demand approval rights over budgets, business plans and major decisions. If sponsors breach covenants or miss sale and refinancing deadlines, investors may take control of the entity or foreclose on the sponsor's ownership interest.
-In one preferred equity deal, the return was double-digit and paid monthly. Repayment was due within two years and backed by personal guarantees.
MY VIEW
Read the control rights before you celebrate the cash. As we noted in September, who gets to make the decisions can matter as much as the property itself. Zero Flux, 2026-09-18 ↗
COMMERCIALLINK
Which trends are reshaping healthcare real estate in 2026?
-Health systems are expanding outpatient facilities and sites closer to patients, reshaping where healthcare real estate is needed.
-A shortage of quality assets is pushing investors toward new development, but reimbursement cuts and high rates may limit which projects receive funding.
WORTH A LOOK
LINK
Mapped: America’s Happiest States in 2026
America's happiest states in 2026, ranked using WalletHub's happiness index
Source: Visual Capitalist
-Hawaii is America's happiest state in 2026, followed by New Jersey and Utah.
-New Jersey led in emotional and physical well-being despite ranking 24th for work environment. Utah ranked first for work and community conditions.
UNREAL REAL ESTATE
A Cleveland Home With Castle Ambitions
A Cleveland Home With Castle Ambitions
In Cleveland, OH, a castle-inspired home has an old-world exterior that resembles a fortress more than a city residence. LINK

 

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